Coppock Curve
The Coppock Curve is a long-term momentum indicator developed by Edwin "Sedge" Coppock in 1962. Originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities in major stock market indices, it combines rate of change calculations to generate a momentum oscillator that helps identify major market bottoms and potential trend reversals.
Formula
Coppock Curve = WMA(10, ROC(14) + ROC(11))
Where:
WMA = Weighted Moving Average
ROC = Rate of Change
14 and 11 = ROC periods
10 = WMA period
How Coppock Curve Works
The Coppock Curve combines two rate-of-change indicators with different periods and smooths them using a weighted moving average. The indicator typically oscillates around zero, with positive values indicating bullish momentum and negative values suggesting bearish momentum. A key signal occurs when the indicator turns upward from below zero, potentially indicating a major market bottom and buying opportunity.
Trading Strategies Using Coppock Curve
Strategy Examples
- Buy when the Coppock Curve turns positive from below zero
- Use zero-line crossovers for trend confirmation
- Look for divergences between price and the Coppock Curve
- Combine with other long-term indicators for confirmation
- Use higher readings to identify strong upward momentum
Support and Resistance Strategy
- Use Coppock Curve levels as dynamic support/resistance zones
- Look for price reactions at extreme Coppock values
- Monitor convergence with key price levels
- Use crossovers near support/resistance for confirmation
- Combine with volume analysis at key levels
Trend Identification
- Sustained positive readings indicate strong uptrend
- Sustained negative readings indicate strong downtrend
- Zero line crossovers suggest major trend changes
- Higher peaks show strengthening upward momentum
- Lower troughs show strengthening downward momentum
Advantages and Limitations
Advantages
- Excellent for identifying long-term buying opportunities
- Reduces noise through smoothing mechanisms
- Proven track record in major market indices
- Clear and objective signals
- Works well for long-term trend following
Limitations
- Significant lag due to long calculation periods
- Not suitable for short-term trading
- Can miss early stages of market reversals
- Limited use in ranging or choppy markets
- May generate false signals in volatile conditions
Best Practices When Using Coppock Curve
- Use the Coppock Curve primarily for long-term investment decisions
- Combine signals with other long-term technical indicators for confirmation
- Focus on zero-line crossovers for major trend change signals
- Consider the broader market context when interpreting signals
- Use longer timeframes (monthly charts) for more reliable signals
- Be patient with positions as signals are meant for long-term trades
- Monitor momentum characteristics through curve steepness
- Pay attention to divergences between price and Coppock readings
- Avoid using the indicator for short-term trading decisions
- Consider fundamental analysis alongside Coppock signals for better results